BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mason City

Class: 3A Class Rank: 45 Conference: 3A-2 Record: (2-4-0) Overall: (16-74-0) Overall Strength =   69.61

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Home    L    51.27  24  48   4A  31 ( 39- 48-  0) Des Moines Lincoln    -18.31     -5.69                      
  2 09/02/2011 Away    W    93.34  43  13   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      23.76      6.24                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    W    92.11  36  14   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   22.53     -0.53                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    L    66.03   6  27   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   -3.55    -17.45                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L    75.91   6  42   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                  6.33    -42.33                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    L    61.68   0  24   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             -7.91    -16.09                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L    81.33  14  55   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             11.75    -52.75                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    L    80.94  14  35   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              11.36    -32.36                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L    45.23   7  42   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -24.35    -10.65                      
 10 08/17/2012 Home    L    70.03   7  24   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                    0.45    -17.45                      
 11 08/24/2012 Home    L    66.55   7  34   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             -3.03    -23.97                      
 12 08/31/2012 Away    L    89.44   7  13   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     19.85    -25.85                      
 13 09/07/2012 Away    L    87.91  10  34   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 18.33    -42.33                      
 14 09/14/2012 Home    L    74.68  17  28   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge              5.09    -16.09                      
 15 09/21/2012 Home    L    87.48   9  42   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            17.90    -50.90                      
 16 09/28/2012 Away    L    52.76   3  21   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa               -16.82     -1.18                      
 17 10/05/2012 Away    W   105.34  49   7   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      35.76      6.24                      
 18 10/12/2012 Home    L    39.69  21  58   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -29.89     -7.11                      
 19 10/24/2012 Away    L    58.41   7  61   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -11.17    -42.83                      
 20 08/30/2013 Away    L    76.09  20  41   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake              6.51    -27.51  NC                  
 21 09/06/2013 Home    L    79.89   9  21   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     10.31    -22.31  ND                  
 22 09/13/2013 Home    L    72.37  20  56   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                  2.78    -38.78  NC                  
 23 09/20/2013 Away    L    86.22  21  24   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             16.64    -19.64  NC                  
 24 09/27/2013 Away    L    88.02  13  49   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            18.44    -54.44                      
 25 10/04/2013 Home    W    70.22  17  14   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                 0.64      2.36                      
 26 10/11/2013 Home    W    99.80  47   7   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      30.22      9.78                      
 27 10/18/2013 Away    L    77.23  13  16   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown            7.65    -10.65                      
 28 10/25/2013 Away    L    83.64  17  42   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      14.06    -39.06                      
 29 10/30/2013 Away    L    78.41  14  48   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          8.83    -42.83                      
 30 08/29/2014 Home    L    56.55   7  44   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake            -13.03    -23.97                      
 31 09/05/2014 Away    L    60.44  14  49   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock     -9.15    -25.85                      
 32 09/12/2014 Home    L    75.57   6  34   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls             5.99    -33.99                      
 33 09/19/2014 Away    L    63.80  13  33   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West          -5.78    -14.22                      
 34 09/26/2014 Home    L    68.68   6  23   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge             -0.91    -16.09                      
 35 10/03/2014 Home    W    80.69  19  15   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           11.11     -7.11                      
 36 10/10/2014 Away    L    60.94   0  41   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -8.64    -32.36                      
 37 10/17/2014 Home    L    69.81   6  24   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola               0.22    -18.22                      
 38 10/24/2014 Away    L    52.91   0  59   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -16.67    -42.33                      
 39 08/28/2015 Away    W    99.09   9   7   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             29.51    -27.51  ND                  
 40 09/04/2015 Home    L    69.89   0  22   3A  18 ( 63- 37-  0) Waverly-Shell Rock      0.31    -22.31  ND                  
 41 09/11/2015 Away    L    87.12  13  33   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            17.54    -37.54  ND                  
 42 09/18/2015 Home    L    58.26  12  34   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West         -11.32    -10.68  ND                  
 43 09/25/2015 Away    L    39.22   6  56   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -30.36    -19.64                      
 44 10/02/2015 Away    L    67.23   7  20   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -2.35    -10.65                      
 45 10/09/2015 Home    L    97.39  20  21   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              27.81    -28.81                      
 46 10/16/2015 Away    L    82.35  21  30   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              12.77    -21.77                      
 47 10/23/2015 Home    L    84.37  16  40   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 14.78    -38.78                      
 48 08/26/2016 Home    W    99.55  20  14   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             29.97    -23.97  ND                  
 49 09/02/2016 Away    W    86.23  15   9   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           16.65    -10.65  ND                  
 50 09/09/2016 Away    L    76.22  12  25   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge              6.64    -19.64  ND                  
 51 09/16/2016 Home    L    63.39  13  48   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -6.19    -28.81  ND                  
 52 09/23/2016 Home    L    89.57   0  14   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls            19.99    -33.99                      
 53 09/30/2016 Away    W   123.55  65   7   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          53.97      4.03                      
 54 10/07/2016 Home    L    69.86   7  30   4A  15 ( 65- 40-  0) CR Washington           0.28    -23.28                      
 55 10/14/2016 Away    L    48.80   6  41   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West         -20.78    -14.22                      
 56 10/21/2016 Home    L    62.79   3  16   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson           -6.79     -6.21                      
 57 08/25/2017 Away    L    64.09  22  55   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             -5.49    -27.51  ND                  
 58 09/01/2017 Home    L    73.69  13  16   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown            4.11     -7.11  ND                  
 59 09/08/2017 Home    L    44.68   6  47   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -24.91    -16.09  ND                  
 60 09/15/2017 Away    L    53.94   7  55   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -15.64    -32.36  ND                  
 61 09/22/2017 Away    L    55.12   0  52   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -14.46    -37.54                      
 62 09/29/2017 Home    W    84.01  40  18   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          14.43      7.57                      
 63 10/06/2017 Away    L    57.41   7  46   4A  15 ( 65- 40-  0) CR Washington         -12.17    -26.83                      
 64 10/13/2017 Home    W    81.26  29  28 1 4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West          11.68    -10.68                      
 65 10/20/2017 Away    L    52.34   7  34   4A  29 ( 24- 68-  0) CR Jefferson          -17.25     -9.75                      
 66 08/24/2018 Home    L    37.68   0  48   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -31.91    -16.09  ND                  
 67 08/31/2018 Away    L    49.80   0  34   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West         -19.78    -14.22  ND                  
 68 09/07/2018 Away    L    48.23  13  45   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -21.35    -10.65  ND                  
 69 09/14/2018 Home    L    65.55  21  49   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             -4.03    -23.97  ND                  
 70 09/21/2018 Home    L    52.37   7  63   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -17.22    -38.78                      
 71 09/28/2018 Away    L    49.35   0  42   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola             -20.23    -21.77                      
 72 10/05/2018 Home    L    34.63  14  55   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -34.95     -6.05                      
 73 10/12/2018 Home    L    47.14   0  52   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -22.45    -29.55                      
 74 10/19/2018 Away    L    55.76   6  21   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa               -13.82     -1.18                      
 75 08/30/2019 Away    L    24.22   0  65   4A  20 ( 46- 49-  0) Fort Dodge            -45.36    -19.64  ND                  
 76 09/06/2019 Home    L    39.26  13  54   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West         -30.32    -10.68  ND                  
 77 09/13/2019 Home    L    56.69   7  27   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -12.89     -7.11  ND                  
 78 09/20/2019 Away    L    62.09  19  54   2A   8 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             -7.49    -27.51  ND                  
 79 09/27/2019 Away    L    50.91   0  61   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -18.67    -42.33                      
 80 10/04/2019 Home    L    44.81   7  50   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola             -24.78    -18.22                      
 81 10/11/2019 Away    L    75.17  13  17   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         5.59     -9.59                      
 82 10/18/2019 Away    L    68.68   6  40   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               -0.90    -33.10                      
 83 10/25/2019 Home    W    78.22  28  17   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                 8.64      2.36                      
 84 08/28/2020 Away    W   108.23  28   0   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           38.65    -10.65  ND                  
 85 09/18/2020 Home    W *  92.25  26  12   3A  33 ( 43- 51-  0) Boone                  22.67     -8.67                      
 86 09/25/2020 Away    L *  63.51   7  42   3A  12 ( 76- 29-  0) Webster City           -6.07    -28.93  ND                  
 87 10/02/2020 Home    L *  76.88  14  21   3A  28 ( 46- 49-  0) Humboldt                7.30    -14.30                      
 88 10/09/2020 Away    L *  61.76  21  49   3A  22 ( 52- 44-  0) Huxley Ballard         -7.83    -20.17                      
 89 10/16/2020 Away    W *  82.27  16  14   3A  37 ( 48- 48-  0) Gilbert                12.69    -10.69                      
 90 10/23/2020 Away    L *  86.51  29  41   3A  12 ( 76- 29-  0) Webster City           16.93    -28.93                      
      Averages              69.61  13.6 33.9

Best game:  123.55 = 58 point win over Waterloo East
Worst game:  24.22 = 65 point loss to Fort Dodge
Team stdev:  18.54